Bitcoin Price Technical Analysis – Yet to Discover What will Happen From Here – Bitcoin Price Prediction

bitcoin price analysis

Since August has come and the confidence-pushing up Hard Fork that happened two weeks ago, Bitcoin is showing all-time highs every day and It will not stop.

Bitcoin total market capitalization reached that of $70.7 for the moment, which as explained in a previous article was higher than the overall of PayPal.

btc market cap

For the moment, the Hash rate has declined a little but it is still expected that it will go a 2.15% difficulty in about as predicted 10 days. With that the combined Difficulty difference of +113.74% would be brought since January 2017.

bitcoin mining hashrate

As many bitcoin core developers do not support the activation of the SegWit2x at the end of the year, Segwit is ready to be activated at the end of this particular month.

bitcoin segwit

The Size of unconfirmed transactions is quite lower since the Bitcoin Cash split (hard fork) Event.

bitcoin mempool size

But in contrary Bitcoin Cash (BCH) stays around the past lows of 0.05BTC. As for the moment most Blocks have been <100kb for Bitcoin Cash.

bch blocks

Global OTC volume is down slightly across the world, with one exception: Venezuela which is currently in political turmoil.

Bitcoin Volume

What is very worth mentioning that Japan’s trading volume has climbed past and over the US one and does account 46% of the volume globally.

For now, Bitfinex stays the top USD exchange by volume but they did announce that they will no longer accept requests by US costumers.

bitcoin exchange volume

Bitcoin Price Technical Analysis – BTC Development

If you have been around the news and blogs lately, you did notice how bitcoin price is making regular daily All-time Highs as it is discovering new territory. Predicting where the top mark level will be is quite difficult as that is all depended by the buyers and how exhausted they will get.

Since the end of the bear market in late 2015, we have now reached the 3.618 fibonacci level of the previous ATH in November 2013 and the low in January 2015.

bitcoin technical analysis

By using a Pitchork with an anchor drawn from the Bitfinex hack you can determine relatively where the trend is. The median Line [red] shows the expected mean of the trend. Every other diagonal can be imagined as a could-be reversal or support zone. The upper yellow is where ‘most overbought’ happened and the lower one ‘most oversold’.

Price is currently pulling back from the upper diagonal resistance after briefly peaking above, which increases the validity of the diagonal resistance. Should price break the upper diagonal resistance, this would invalidate the Pitchfork and a new Pitchfork would need to be drawn.

btc price analysis

The Ichimoku Cloud

The Cloud system is a constant, auto-drawn indicator which quickly offers an immense amount of valuable information on any time frame. The Cloud is best used at higher time frames as more data generally provides more accurate signals and less false positives.

The indicator uses moving averages and dynamic support and resistance to make projections of key zones, as well as capturing 80% of any given trend. As long as the price remains above the Cloud, sentiment remains bullish. Price in the Cloud indicates a neutral trend, and below the Cloud indicates a bearish trend.

When the Tenkan (T) is over the Kijun (K) sentiment is bullish. K over T would indicate bearish sentiment. When the Lagging Span (LS) is above the Cloud and above the price sentiment is bullish, below the Cloud and price would indicate bearish sentiment.

  • All indicators and signal for a weekly timeperiod show a bullish trend. If the Cloud remains thin and has a climbing trend the flow stands its ground strong and increasing (as it is).

bitcoin cloud signal trend

Bitcoin Price Prediction and Final Thought

The attractiveness that Bitcoin brought to Japan significantly raised the bar for its demand and global trading value. Coinbase’s recent $100 million fundraising announcement is no surprise considering they have a near monopoly in the United States, especially among retail or casual users.

As mentioned in the beginning with the new all-time highs, we are just walking on a territory that the price was never before. So resistance and support will be discovered all based on supply and the demand level that will be going on in a particular moment. Overall, the longstanding trend is predicted to remains strong, surging and intact. Although highs beyond $4400 are possible, technicals, including Pitchfork and Ichimoku Cloud, are showing a pullback more likely than continuation.

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