Here’s Why Analysts Aren’t Worried After Bitcoin’s 10% Plunge to $9,250
Bitcoin didn’t fare too well on Wednesday. After recovering 8.4% to $10,300 after a 10% retracement to $9,500, bears returned to brutalize bulls. In the span of a few hours time, the price of BTC tanked off a cliff, falling as low as $9,250 on some exchanges, shocking the entire industry in the process.
In spite of this jaw-dropping move, a number of analysts have reminded investors to zoom out, underscoring that the short-term volatility on the downside disguises the long-term bull trend for Bitcoin.
Bitcoin’s Long-Term Outlook Still Decisively Positive
In a bid to remind investors that Bitcoin’s 10% drop seen on Wednesday is far from the end of the world, prominent industry content creator and analyst MMCrypto posted the below tweet, writing:
“Scared and anxious from the bears coming out and tweeting fear? […] When in doubt, zoom out!”
Backing his cheery comment, he included the above chart, which shows the monthly chart for Bitcoin. In it, you can see a clear trend reversal over January and the ongoing month, with both of these monthly candles trending green and both candles breaking out of a downtrend that confined the cryptocurrency for six months.
Indeed, there is a confluence of long-term technical indicators that suggest the ball remains in the court of bulls.
Cryptocurrency analytics provider Santiment noted on Wednesday (even after the drop) that one of their leading indicators, which tracks the price of BTC over its Network Value to Transaction Ratio (NVT), is suggesting that the cryptocurrency is undergoing a “reversal into the [long-term] bull territory.”
Also, a golden cross, where an asset’s 50-day simple moving average crosses above its 200-day simple moving average, was just formed on the Bitcoin chart.
Analysts in traditional markets see this as a sign that a decisive uptrend has formed.
Indeed, data this writer compiled shows that the golden cross in 2012 led to a 20,578 percent surge in the price of Bitcoin, and that a golden cross in 2015 led to the 6,739 percent rally that took BTC to just shy of $20,000.
Fundamentals Are Bullish Too, Not Just Technicals
It isn’t only the technicals that are looking bullish.
The bucket of fundamentals that may skew the supply-demand dynamic of BTC in favor of bulls is quickly being filled, so to speak.
As this writer explained in a recent tweet, the confluence in the growth of the HODL mentality and investing strategy (as evidenced by the HODL waves), the impending May 2020 block reward reduction or halving, and the likely increase in demand for Bitcoin due to macro factors like the coronavirus outbreak and a potential recession is all boding well for BTC.
Bitcoin's perfect storm is brewing right now:
1. Growth in popularity of the HODL mentality (seen below), decreasing sell-side pressure. 2. May 2020's Bitcoin halving, decreasing inflation by 50%. 3. Increase in Bitcoin demand due to market cycle and macro factors. pic.twitter.com/6b1UJO3Nkt